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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IA Akranes v Keflavik: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
4–4
FT
IA Akranes 67%Draw 21%Keflavik 13% Expected goals 2.54 – 1.11
67%
Betarazi pick

IA Akranes to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultIA Akranes to win ✗67% · @1.50
Double chanceIA Akranes or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.75

IA Akranes vs Keflavik: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: IA Akranes v Keflavik in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, IA Akranes are 4th on 38 points after 27 matches; Keflavik are 6th with 30.

Current form

IA Akranes, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Fram Reykjavik, away. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Keflavik, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to KR Reykjavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours IA Akranes, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Keflavik.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Jul 2026) it ended Keflavik 5–2 IA Akranes. The last 2 head-to-heads: IA Akranes 0 wins, Keflavik 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IA Akranes 2.5 xG, Keflavik 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IA Akranes 67%, draw 21%, Keflavik 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: IA Akranes or draw (87%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.33.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was IA Akranes to win (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: IA Akranes 2–1 Keflavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IA Akranes67%fair 1.50 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.33
Keflavik13%fair 7.92 · @4.60
3.65Expected goals
2.54IA Akranes xG
1.11Keflavik xG
66%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: IA Akranes 2.5 – 1.1 Keflavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIA Akranes to win ✗67%1.501.50
Double chanceIA Akranes or draw ✓87%1.141.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓66%1.521.33
Draw no betIA Akranes (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapIA Akranes -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%1.98–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
First team to scoreIA Akranes to score first68%1.47–
Half-time resultIA Akranes ahead at half-time ✓51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT IA Akranes / FT IA Akranes ✗46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.75–

Recent results

IA Akranes – last 6

WDWLWD
19 Oct@ Fram Reykjavik4–2W
11 Oct@ Vikingur Reykjavik2–2D
20 Sepvs Breidablik4–1W
13 Sep@ KR Reykjavik1–5L
6 Sepvs KR Reykjavik3–1W
30 Aug@ Valur Reykjavik2–2D
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Keflavik – last 6

LLDLLL
17 Octvs KR Reykjavik2–3L
11 Oct@ Breidablik1–3L
20 Sepvs Fram Reykjavik2–2D
14 Sep@ Vikingur Reykjavik1–4L
5 Sepvs Valur Reykjavik1–2L
30 Aug@ FH hafnarfjordur1–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Jul 2026Keflavik v IA Akranes5–2
8 May 2026IA Akranes v Keflavik1–3
IA Akranes vs Keflavik head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IA Akranes vs Keflavik?

Our pick is IA Akranes to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win IA Akranes vs Keflavik?

On our numbers IA Akranes have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Keflavik 13%.

How many goals will there be in IA Akranes vs Keflavik?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IA Akranes vs Keflavik?

Our predicted score is IA Akranes 2–1 Keflavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is IA Akranes vs Keflavik?

IA Akranes vs Keflavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.