Value bet: Stjarnan to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultStjarnan to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.22
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stjarnan welcome Valur Reykjavik for a Úrvalsdeild fixture on Saturday 24 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; Valur Reykjavik are 2nd with 34. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Stjarnan, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Thor Akureyri, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Valur Reykjavik, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over KA Akureyri, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Valur Reykjavik, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Stjarnan.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Aug 2026) it ended Valur Reykjavik 2–3 Stjarnan. The last 2 head-to-heads: Stjarnan 1 win, Valur Reykjavik 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 5.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.5 xG, Valur Reykjavik 1.6 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 56%, draw 19%, Valur Reykjavik 24%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Stjarnan to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stjarnan56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.90
Valur Reykjavik24%fair 4.09 · @3.00
4.08Expected goals
2.47Stjarnan xG
1.61Valur Reykjavik xG
72%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
1–17%
2–27%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.5 – 1.6 Valur Reykjavik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Valur Reykjavik 24%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 Valur Reykjavik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik?
Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
