Value bet: Stjarnan to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStjarnan to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗69% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Stjarnan v KA Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild. In the table, Stjarnan are 1st on 34 points after 27 matches; KA Akureyri are 5th with 29.
Current form
Stjarnan, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to FH hafnarfjordur, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
KA Akureyri, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Thor Akureyri, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Stjarnan 3–1 KA Akureyri.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stjarnan 2.5 xG, KA Akureyri 1.4 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 76% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stjarnan 63%, draw 15%, KA Akureyri 22%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Stjarnan to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stjarnan63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
Draw15%fair 6.75 · @4.33
KA Akureyri22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
3.96Expected goals
2.53Stjarnan xG
1.43KA Akureyri xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–26%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Stjarnan 2.5 – 1.4 KA Akureyri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
On our numbers Stjarnan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 15% and KA Akureyri 22%.
How many goals will there be in Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Our predicted score is Stjarnan 2–1 KA Akureyri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?
Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
