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Thor Akureyri v IBV Vestmannaeyjar: numbers & prediction

Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · Thorsvollur
1–0
FT
Thor Akureyri 36%Draw 22%IBV Vestmannaeyjar 43% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.76
65%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultIBV Vestmannaeyjar to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.59

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IBV Vestmannaeyjar travel to face Thor Akureyri on Saturday 10 October in the Úrvalsdeild, with Thorsvollur the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Thor Akureyri are 4th on 30 points after 27 matches; IBV Vestmannaeyjar are 6th with 22.

Current form

Thor Akureyri, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to KA Akureyri, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Valur Reykjavik, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Thor Akureyri, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Aug 2026) it ended IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0–1 Thor Akureyri. The last 2 head-to-heads: Thor Akureyri 1 win, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thor Akureyri 1.6 xG, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thor Akureyri 36%, draw 22%, IBV Vestmannaeyjar 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thor Akureyri 1–1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thor Akureyri36%fair 2.79 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @3.30
IBV Vestmannaeyjar43%fair 2.35 · @2.25
3.35Expected goals
1.59Thor Akureyri xG
1.76IBV Vestmannaeyjar xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%

From our goals model: Thor Akureyri 1.6 – 1.8 IBV Vestmannaeyjar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIBV Vestmannaeyjar to win ✗43%2.352.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.44
Draw no betIBV Vestmannaeyjar (draw no bet) ✗54%1.84–
Asian handicapThor Akureyri +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.54–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
First team to scoreIBV Vestmannaeyjar to score first ✗51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.70–
Half-time / full-timeHT IBV Vestmannaeyjar / FT IBV Vestmannaeyjar ✗25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.59–

Recent results

Thor Akureyri – last 6

LLWWLL
19 Sep@ KA Akureyri0–3L
13 Sep@ Valur Reykjavik1–4L
6 Sepvs FH hafnarfjordur1–0W
29 Aug@ IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–0W
23 Aug@ Stjarnan2–4L
15 Augvs Keflavik0–2L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

IBV Vestmannaeyjar – last 6

DLDLLL
20 Sepvs Valur Reykjavik1–1D
13 Sep@ Stjarnan0–2L
6 Sep@ Stjarnan2–2D
29 Augvs Thor Akureyri0–1L
23 Aug@ Keflavik0–1L
16 Augvs IA Akranes1–3L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026IBV Vestmannaeyjar v Thor Akureyri0–1
14 Jun 2026Thor Akureyri v IBV Vestmannaeyjar1–4
Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar head-to-head page →

Úrvalsdeild table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vikingur Reykjavik221651+4653
2Fram Reykjavik221363+1445
3KR Reykjavik221354+2544
4Breidablik22868+230
5IA Akranes22868-230
6Keflavik228410-528
7Stjarnan228410-828
8Valur Reykjavik228311-627
9FH hafnarfjordur22499-1221
10Thor Akureyri226313-2821
11KA Akureyri225512-1320
12IBV Vestmannaeyjar224612-1318

More Úrvalsdeild predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

On our numbers Thor Akureyri have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and IBV Vestmannaeyjar 43%.

How many goals will there be in Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Our predicted score is Thor Akureyri 1–1 IBV Vestmannaeyjar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar?

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar (Úrvalsdeild) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Thorsvollur.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.