Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Derio vs Salamanca UDS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Derio v Salamanca UDS in the Copa Federacion.
Current form
Derio, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Ignacio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Salamanca UDS, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Getafe II, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Salamanca UDS, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Derio.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Derio 1.3 xG, Salamanca UDS 1.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 51% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Derio 31%, draw 23%, Salamanca UDS 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Derio 1–2 Salamanca UDS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Derio31%fair 3.20 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Salamanca UDS46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
3.03Expected goals
1.34Derio xG
1.69Salamanca UDS xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Derio 1.3 – 1.7 Salamanca UDS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salamanca UDS to win✗
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Draw no bet
Salamanca UDS (draw no bet)
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Derio +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Salamanca UDS to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salamanca UDS / FT Salamanca UDS✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Recent results
Derio – last 6
DDDLLL
12 Sep
@ San Ignacio
1–1
D
9 Sep
@ Compostela
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Real Sociedad III
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Sestao River
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Athletic Club
0–3
L
6 Jun
@ Leioa
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Salamanca UDS – last 6
WDWLLW
12 Sep
vs Getafe II
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Caudal
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Guadalajara
3–2
W
26 Aug
@ Atlético Astorga
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Cultural Leonesa
0–5
L
3 May
vs Lealtad
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Derio and Salamanca UDS.
What is the prediction for Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
On our numbers Derio have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Salamanca UDS 46%.
How many goals will there be in Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
Our predicted score is Derio 1–2 Salamanca UDS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Derio vs Salamanca UDS?
Derio vs Salamanca UDS (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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