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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orihuela v Real Murcia: numbers & prediction

1–1
FTAET 1–4
Orihuela 17%Draw 24%Real Murcia 59% Expected goals 1.00 – 2.01
59%
Betarazi pick

Real Murcia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Murcia to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 14.99

Orihuela vs Real Murcia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Real Murcia travel to face Orihuela on Wednesday 16 September in the Copa Federacion – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Current form

Orihuela, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lorca Deportiva, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Real Murcia, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atlético Madrid II, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orihuela 1.0 xG, Real Murcia 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orihuela 17%, draw 24%, Real Murcia 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Real Murcia or draw (83%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Real Murcia to win (59%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orihuela 0–2 Real Murcia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orihuela17%fair 5.99 · @3.80
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
Real Murcia59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
3.01Expected goals
1.00Orihuela xG
2.01Real Murcia xG
50%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Orihuela 1.0 – 2.0 Real Murcia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Murcia to win ✗59%1.691.80 ▲
Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.99–
Draw no betReal Murcia (draw no bet)78%1.28–
Asian handicapReal Murcia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.922.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreReal Murcia to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultReal Murcia ahead at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia ✗39%2.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7%14.99–

Recent results

Orihuela – last 6

WWLWLD
13 Sepvs Lorca Deportiva1–0W
5 Sep@ Real Murcia II2–1W
12 Aug@ FC Cartagena0–3L
3 Mayvs Getafe II2–1W
26 Apr@ Las Palmas II1–2L
5 Aprvs Conquense2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Real Murcia – last 6

LDWWDW
13 Sep@ Atlético Madrid II0–4L
9 Sep@ Mensajero1–1D
6 Sepvs Teruel4–0W
29 Aug@ Hércules2–1W
8 Aug@ Albacete1–1D
5 Aug@ Cieza4–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Orihuela and Real Murcia.

Orihuela vs Real Murcia head-to-head page →

More Copa Federacion predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orihuela vs Real Murcia?

Our pick is Real Murcia to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Orihuela vs Real Murcia?

On our numbers Orihuela have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Murcia 59%.

How many goals will there be in Orihuela vs Real Murcia?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orihuela vs Real Murcia?

Our predicted score is Orihuela 0–2 Real Murcia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Orihuela vs Real Murcia?

Orihuela vs Real Murcia (Copa Federacion) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.