Al Ahli Tripoli 66%Draw 11%Welwalo Adigrat Uni 23%Expected goals 2.39 – 1.28
88%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
–Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Ahli Tripoli to win ✓66% · fair 1.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the CAF Confederation Cup brings Al Ahli Tripoli against Welwalo Adigrat Uni at Tripoli International Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Al Ahli Tripoli, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni, away. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al Ahli Tripoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Al Ahli Tripoli, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Oct 2026) it ended Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0–4 Al Ahli Tripoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Ahli Tripoli 2.4 xG, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1.3 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Ahli Tripoli 66%, draw 11%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 23%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (88%). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Ahli Tripoli 2–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Ahli Tripoli66%fair 1.52
Draw11%fair 9.09
Welwalo Adigrat Uni23%fair 4.35
3.67Expected goals
2.39Al Ahli Tripoli xG
1.28Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Ahli Tripoli 2.4 – 1.3 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 88% chance.
Who will win Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
On our numbers Al Ahli Tripoli have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 23%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli Tripoli 2–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tripoli International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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