Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.73Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIran U23 to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceIran U23 or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.46
Iran U23 vs China PR U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
China PR U23 travel to face Iran U23 on Sunday 20 September in the Asian Games, with Wave Stadium Kariya the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT. In the table, Iran U23 are 3rd on 4 points after 3 matches; China PR U23 are 1st with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
China PR U23, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Korea DPR U23, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iran U23 2.4 xG, China PR U23 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iran U23 64%, draw 22%, China PR U23 13%.
Lower-risk option: Iran U23 or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Iran U23 to win (64%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iran U23 2–1 China PR U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iran U2364%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.25
China PR U2313%fair 7.45 · @4.50
3.50Expected goals
2.41Iran U23 xG
1.09China PR U23 xG
58%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Iran U23 2.4 – 1.1 China PR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran U23 to win✗
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Iran U23 or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Iran U23 (draw no bet)
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Iran U23 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Iran U23 to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Iran U23 ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran U23 / FT Iran U23✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.46
–
Recent results
Iran U23 – last 1
W
16 Sep
@ UAE U23
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
China PR U23 – last 6
WWWWDD
16 Sep
vs Korea DPR U23
2–1
W
9 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs Tajikistan U23
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Vietnam U23
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Korea DPR U23
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Thailand U23
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran U23 and China PR U23.
What is the prediction for Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
Our pick is Iran U23 to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
On our numbers Iran U23 have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and China PR U23 13%.
How many goals will there be in Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
Our predicted score is Iran U23 2–1 China PR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Iran U23 vs China PR U23?
Iran U23 vs China PR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Wave Stadium Kariya.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hong Kong U231
Thailand U235
Kyrgyz Republic U230
Japan U237