Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Sunday 20 September: Kyrgyz Republic U23 v Japan U23 in the Asian Games, played at Toyota Stadium. In the table, Kyrgyz Republic U23 are 3rd on 3 points after 3 matches; Japan U23 are 1st with 9.
Current form
Kyrgyz Republic U23, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Thailand U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kyrgyz Republic U23 0.7 xG, Japan U23 2.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kyrgyz Republic U23 5%, draw 15%, Japan U23 79%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.80 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kyrgyz Republic U23 1–2 Japan U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kyrgyz Republic U235%fair 18.45 · @91.00
Draw15%fair 6.48 · @11.00
Japan U2379%fair 1.26 · @1.05
3.50Expected goals
0.71Kyrgyz Republic U23 xG
2.79Japan U23 xG
50%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–311%
0–18%
1–28%
1–38%
0–48%
From our goals model: Kyrgyz Republic U23 0.7 – 2.8 Japan U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan U23 to win✓
79%
1.26
1.05
Double chance
Japan U23 or draw✓
95%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Japan U23 (draw no bet)✓
94%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Japan U23 -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Japan U23 to score first✓
77%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Japan U23 ahead at half-time✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan U23 / FT Japan U23✓
57%
1.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Kyrgyz Republic U23 – last 3
LLD
16 Sep
@ Thailand U23
2–3
L
27 Mar
vs Jordan U23
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Serbia U21
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Japan U23 – last 1
W
16 Sep
vs Hong Kong U23
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyrgyz Republic U23 and Japan U23.
What is the prediction for Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.80.
Who will win Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
On our numbers Kyrgyz Republic U23 have a 5% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Japan U23 79%.
How many goals will there be in Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Our predicted score is Kyrgyz Republic U23 1–2 Japan U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23?
Kyrgyz Republic U23 vs Japan U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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