Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Iran U23 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIran U23 to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceIran U23 or draw ✗85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.41
Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Korea DPR U23 travel to face Iran U23 on Wednesday 23 September in the Asian Games, with Wave Stadium Kariya the venue – the ball rolls at 06:30 WAT. In the table, Iran U23 are 3rd on 4 points after 3 matches; Korea DPR U23 are 2nd with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Korea DPR U23, last 3: DLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with UAE U23, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Iran U23 1.3 xG, Korea DPR U23 0.4 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Iran U23 61%, draw 24%, Korea DPR U23 15%.
Lower-risk option: Iran U23 or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Iran U23 to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Iran U23 or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Iran U23 1–0 Korea DPR U23. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Iran U2361%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.10
Korea DPR U2315%fair 6.54 · @4.40
1.75Expected goals
1.31Iran U23 xG
0.44Korea DPR U23 xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Iran U23 1.3 – 0.4 Korea DPR U23 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Iran U23 to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Iran U23 or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.70
Draw no bet
Iran U23 (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Korea DPR U23 +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Iran U23 to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Iran U23 / FT Iran U23✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
23%
4.41
–
Recent results
Iran U23 – last 2
DW
20 Sep
vs China PR U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ UAE U23
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Korea DPR U23 – last 3
DLD
20 Sep
vs UAE U23
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ China PR U23
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ China PR U23
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Iran U23 and Korea DPR U23.
What is the prediction for Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Our pick is Iran U23 or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
On our numbers Iran U23 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Korea DPR U23 15%.
How many goals will there be in Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Our predicted score is Iran U23 1–0 Korea DPR U23, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23?
Iran U23 vs Korea DPR U23 (Asian Games) kicks off on Wednesday 23 September 2026 at 06:30 (West Africa Time) at Wave Stadium Kariya.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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