Value bet: CS Sfaxien to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFAD to win ✗38% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.07
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the CAF Confederation Cup brings AFAD against CS Sfaxien. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT.
Current form
AFAD, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with SOA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
CS Sfaxien, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AFAD 1.1 xG, CS Sfaxien 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AFAD 38%, draw 26%, CS Sfaxien 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: CS Sfaxien to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.87, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFAD 1–1 CS Sfaxien. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AFAD38%fair 2.63 · @2.30
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.62
CS Sfaxien36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.15AFAD xG
1.10CS Sfaxien xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: AFAD 1.1 – 1.1 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFAD to win✗
38%
2.63
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
AFAD (draw no bet)
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
CS Sfaxien +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
AFAD to score first
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFAD / FT AFAD✗
21%
4.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.07
–
Recent results
AFAD – last 6
DLDDWW
4 Oct
vs SOA
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Bouaké
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ East End Lions
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs East End Lions
1–1
D
24 May
@ SOL
2–0
W
17 May
vs Olympique Sport d'Abobo
8–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CS Sfaxien – last 6
LWDWLW
10 Oct
@ Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs CA Bizertin
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ US Ben Guerdane
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Shooting Stars
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Shooting Stars
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs ES Zarzis
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFAD and CS Sfaxien.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers AFAD have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and CS Sfaxien 36%.
How many goals will there be in AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
Our predicted score is AFAD 1–1 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is AFAD vs CS Sfaxien?
AFAD vs CS Sfaxien (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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