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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Red Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Red Arrows 19%Draw 22%Kaizer Chiefs 59% Expected goals 0.61 – 1.39
81%
Betarazi pick

Kaizer Chiefs or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Kaizer Chiefs to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKaizer Chiefs to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceKaizer Chiefs or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19% · fair 5.32

Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Saturday 17 October: Red Arrows v Kaizer Chiefs in the CAF Confederation Cup.

Current form

Red Arrows, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mufulira Wanderers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Kaizer Chiefs, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stellenbosch, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Red Arrows, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Kaizer Chiefs.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Red Arrows 0.6 xG, Kaizer Chiefs 1.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Red Arrows 19%, draw 22%, Kaizer Chiefs 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kaizer Chiefs or draw (81%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Kaizer Chiefs to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Kaizer Chiefs or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Red Arrows 0–1 Kaizer Chiefs. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Red Arrows19%fair 5.19 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @2.90
Kaizer Chiefs59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
2.00Expected goals
0.61Red Arrows xG
1.39Kaizer Chiefs xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–014%
0–213%
1–111%
1–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Red Arrows 0.6 – 1.4 Kaizer Chiefs expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKaizer Chiefs to win ✗59%1.701.95 ▲
Double chanceKaizer Chiefs or draw ✗81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.911.73
Draw no betKaizer Chiefs (draw no bet) ✗75%1.33–
Asian handicapRed Arrows +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗59%1.68–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreKaizer Chiefs to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kaizer Chiefs / FT Kaizer Chiefs ✗33%3.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗19%5.32–

Recent results

Red Arrows – last 6

DWWWWW
10 Octvs Mufulira Wanderers0–0D
4 Oct@ Mutondo Stars3–1W
13 Sep@ Inate Rouge2–0W
5 Sepvs Inate Rouge2–0W
22 Mayvs Green Buffaloes2–0W
14 Mayvs Green Eagles2–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kaizer Chiefs – last 6

DDDWDD
13 Octvs Stellenbosch1–1D
20 Sep@ Golden Arrows0–0D
12 Sep@ Polokwane City1–1D
6 Sepvs Siwelele3–2W
26 Aug@ Richards Bay2–2D
15 Augvs Mamelodi Sundowns1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Red Arrows and Kaizer Chiefs.

Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs head-to-head page →

CAF Confederation Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamalek SC6321+211
2AL Masry6312+210
3Kaizer Chiefs6312+110
4ZESCO United6105-53

More CAF Confederation Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Our pick is Kaizer Chiefs or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

On our numbers Red Arrows have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Kaizer Chiefs 59%.

How many goals will there be in Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Our predicted score is Red Arrows 0–1 Kaizer Chiefs, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs (CAF Confederation Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.