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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aluminium Arak v Malavan: numbers & prediction

Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran · Imam Khomeini
1–1
FT

Malavan

WLLLW
Aluminium Arak 42%Draw 25%Malavan 33% Expected goals 1.08 – 0.91
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.34Odds

Picks by market

ResultAluminium Arak to win ✗42% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.51
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79

Aluminium Arak vs Malavan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 8 October the Persian Gulf Pro League brings Aluminium Arak against Malavan at Imam Khomeini. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT. In the table, Aluminium Arak are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Malavan are 15th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Aluminium Arak, last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Esteghlal FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Malavan, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mes Shahr-e Babak, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Aluminium Arak, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Malavan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aluminium Arak 1.1 xG, Malavan 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aluminium Arak 42%, draw 25%, Malavan 33%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.51.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aluminium Arak 1–0 Malavan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aluminium Arak42%fair 2.37 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Malavan33%fair 3.00 · @3.11
1.99Expected goals
1.08Aluminium Arak xG
0.91Malavan xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Aluminium Arak 1.1 – 0.9 Malavan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAluminium Arak to win ✗42%2.372.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75%1.321.29
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.51
Draw no betAluminium Arak (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapMalavan +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓59%1.691.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.34
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreAluminium Arak to score first ✗47%2.14–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aluminium Arak / FT Aluminium Arak ✗22%4.58–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.79–

Recent results

Aluminium Arak – last 6

DWDDDW
6 Sepvs Esteghlal FC0–0D
1 Sep@ Gol Gohar2–0W
28 Augvs Kheybar Khorramabad2–2D
23 Aug@ Shams Azar Qazvin2–2D
18 Augvs Chadormalu SC0–0D
14 Aug@ Esteghlal Khuzestan2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Malavan – last 6

WLLLWD
7 Sep@ Mes Shahr-e Babak2–1W
2 Sepvs Nassaji Mazandaran0–1L
29 Aug@ Persepolis FC0–3L
24 Augvs Fajr Sepasi0–1L
19 Augvs ZOB Ahan2–1W
15 Aug@ Sanat Naft1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Aluminium Arak and Malavan.

Aluminium Arak vs Malavan head-to-head page →

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sepahan FC12822+1626
2Persepolis FC12723+1323
3Tractor Sazi11722+923
4Foolad FC12651+623
5Esteghlal FC11560+921
6Aluminium Arak12453+317
7Fajr Sepasi11452-117
8Chadormalu SC12453-317
9Gol Gohar11425+114
10Kheybar Khorramabad12354-114
11Paykan12354-114
12Nassaji Mazandaran12264-312
13Esteghlal Khuzestan12255-711
14ZOB Ahan12174-410
15Malavan12336-610
16Sanat Naft11245-910
17Shams Azar Qazvin11146-67
18Mes Shahr-e Babak12057-165

More Persian Gulf Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aluminium Arak vs Malavan?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Aluminium Arak vs Malavan?

On our numbers Aluminium Arak have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Malavan 33%.

How many goals will there be in Aluminium Arak vs Malavan?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aluminium Arak vs Malavan?

Our predicted score is Aluminium Arak 1–0 Malavan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Aluminium Arak vs Malavan?

Aluminium Arak vs Malavan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Imam Khomeini.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.