Sepahan FC 62%Draw 20%Fajr Sepasi 18%Expected goals 1.31 – 0.48
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.56 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.56Odds
Picks by market
ResultSepahan FC to win ✓62% · @1.56
Double chanceSepahan FC or draw ✓82% · fair 1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.56
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.58
Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Thursday 8 October: Sepahan FC v Fajr Sepasi in the Persian Gulf Pro League, played at Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium. In the table, Sepahan FC are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 12 matches; Fajr Sepasi are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Sepahan FC, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Esteghlal Khuzestan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fajr Sepasi, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Foolad FC, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sepahan FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Fajr Sepasi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sepahan FC 1.3 xG, Fajr Sepasi 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sepahan FC 62%, draw 20%, Fajr Sepasi 18%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.56 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sepahan FC 1–0 Fajr Sepasi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sepahan FC62%fair 1.62 · @1.56
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.55
Fajr Sepasi18%fair 5.55 · @5.36
1.79Expected goals
1.31Sepahan FC xG
0.48Fajr Sepasi xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sepahan FC 1.3 – 0.5 Fajr Sepasi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sepahan FC to win✓
62%
1.62
1.56
Double chance
Sepahan FC or draw✓
82%
1.22
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.57
Draw no bet
Sepahan FC (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Fajr Sepasi +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.56
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Sepahan FC to score first
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sepahan FC / FT Sepahan FC✓
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.58
–
Recent results
Sepahan FC – last 6
WDWLLW
6 Sep
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Sanat Naft
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Gol Gohar
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Esteghlal FC
0–2
L
18 Aug
vs Tractor Sazi
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Chadormalu SC
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fajr Sepasi – last 6
LDDWDD
7 Sep
@ Foolad FC
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Malavan
1–0
W
19 Aug
vs Sanat Naft
0–0
D
14 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sepahan FC and Fajr Sepasi.
What is the prediction for Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.56.
Who will win Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?
On our numbers Sepahan FC have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fajr Sepasi 18%.
How many goals will there be in Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our predicted score is Sepahan FC 1–0 Fajr Sepasi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi?
Sepahan FC vs Fajr Sepasi (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
