Value bet: Esteghlal FC to win @ 1.77 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsteghlal FC to win ✗63% · @1.77
Double chanceEsteghlal FC or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.67
Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gol Gohar travel to face Esteghlal FC on Monday 19 October in the Persian Gulf Pro League, with Azadi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:15 WAT. In the table, Esteghlal FC are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Gol Gohar are 9th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Esteghlal FC, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al-Gharafa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gol Gohar, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Muharraq, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Esteghlal FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Gol Gohar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal FC 1.4 xG, Gol Gohar 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal FC 63%, draw 23%, Gol Gohar 14%.
GG/NG: NG (57%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Esteghlal FC to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal FC 1–0 Gol Gohar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal FC63%fair 1.59 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.05
Gol Gohar14%fair 7.01 · @4.63
1.89Expected goals
1.42Esteghlal FC xG
0.47Gol Gohar xG
43%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.4 – 0.5 Gol Gohar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win✗
63%
1.59
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Esteghlal FC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.44
Draw no bet
Esteghlal FC (draw no bet)
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Esteghlal FC -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.34
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Esteghlal FC to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.67
–
Recent results
Esteghlal FC – last 6
WDWWDD
12 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Al Sadd
3–0
W
10 Sep
vs Paykan
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Aluminium Arak
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Persepolis FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gol Gohar – last 6
LWDWLL
14 Oct
@ Muharraq
0–2
L
8 Oct
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3–0
W
15 Sep
vs Al-Jazira
0–0
D
10 Sep
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Tractor Sazi
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Aluminium Arak
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Gol Gohar.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gol Gohar 14%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–0 Gol Gohar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar?
Esteghlal FC vs Gol Gohar (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 15:15 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
