Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPaykan to win ✗39% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.47
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fajr Sepasi welcome Paykan for a Persian Gulf Pro League fixture on Monday 19 October (14:15 WAT). In the table, Fajr Sepasi are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Paykan are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fajr Sepasi, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Aluminium Arak, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Paykan, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Shams Azar Qazvin, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fajr Sepasi 1.0 xG, Paykan 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fajr Sepasi 38%, draw 23%, Paykan 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fajr Sepasi 0–1 Paykan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fajr Sepasi38%fair 2.65 · @2.47
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.02
Paykan39%fair 2.56 · @2.62
2.02Expected goals
1.00Fajr Sepasi xG
1.02Paykan xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Fajr Sepasi 1.0 – 1.0 Paykan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paykan to win✗
39%
2.56
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Paykan (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Fajr Sepasi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.49
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.13
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.01
First team to score
Paykan to score first✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.47
–
Recent results
Fajr Sepasi – last 6
WLLDDW
13 Oct
vs Aluminium Arak
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Sepahan FC
1–6
L
7 Sep
@ Foolad FC
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Malavan
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paykan – last 6
DLWLDW
10 Oct
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–1
D
10 Sep
@ Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Sanat Naft
2–0
W
2 Sep
@ ZOB Ahan
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fajr Sepasi and Paykan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
On our numbers Fajr Sepasi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paykan 39%.
How many goals will there be in Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
Our predicted score is Fajr Sepasi 0–1 Paykan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan?
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
