Value bet: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @ 2.59 – our chance 42% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNassaji Mazandaran to win ✗42% · @2.59
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.24
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Persian Gulf Pro League brings Nassaji Mazandaran against Fajr Sepasi at Vatani Stadium. Kick-off: 14:15 WAT. In the table, Nassaji Mazandaran are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Fajr Sepasi are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Nassaji Mazandaran, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Foolad FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Fajr Sepasi, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Paykan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nassaji Mazandaran 1.0 xG, Fajr Sepasi 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nassaji Mazandaran 42%, draw 25%, Fajr Sepasi 33%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Nassaji Mazandaran to win @2.59 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nassaji Mazandaran 0–0 Fajr Sepasi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nassaji Mazandaran42%fair 2.38 · @2.59
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.74
Fajr Sepasi33%fair 3.04 · @2.72
1.83Expected goals
1.00Nassaji Mazandaran xG
0.83Fajr Sepasi xG
46%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–016%
0–113%
1–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nassaji Mazandaran 1.0 – 0.8 Fajr Sepasi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nassaji Mazandaran to win✗
42%
2.38
2.59 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.53
Draw no bet
Nassaji Mazandaran (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Fajr Sepasi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.61
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
1.07
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Nassaji Mazandaran to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.24
–
Recent results
Nassaji Mazandaran – last 6
DDDWWL
18 Oct
@ Foolad FC
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs ZOB Ahan
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Malavan
1–0
W
28 Aug
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Fajr Sepasi – last 6
WWLLDD
19 Oct
vs Paykan
2–0
W
13 Oct
vs Aluminium Arak
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Sepahan FC
1–6
L
7 Sep
@ Foolad FC
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nassaji Mazandaran and Fajr Sepasi.
What is the prediction for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
On our numbers Nassaji Mazandaran have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Fajr Sepasi 33%.
How many goals will there be in Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
Our predicted score is Nassaji Mazandaran 0–0 Fajr Sepasi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi?
Nassaji Mazandaran vs Fajr Sepasi (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Vatani Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
