Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.01
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Esteghlal Khuzestan v Shams Azar Qazvin in the Persian Gulf Pro League, played at Ghadir Stadium. In the table, Esteghlal Khuzestan are 13th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Shams Azar Qazvin are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Esteghlal Khuzestan, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kheybar Khorramabad, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Shams Azar Qazvin, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sepahan FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esteghlal Khuzestan 1.0 xG, Shams Azar Qazvin 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esteghlal Khuzestan 39%, draw 26%, Shams Azar Qazvin 35%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esteghlal Khuzestan39%fair 2.57 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.73
Shams Azar Qazvin35%fair 2.83 · @2.91
1.97Expected goals
1.02Esteghlal Khuzestan xG
0.95Shams Azar Qazvin xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–114%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Esteghlal Khuzestan 1.0 – 0.9 Shams Azar Qazvin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal Khuzestan to win✓
39%
2.57
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.50
Draw no bet
Esteghlal Khuzestan (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Shams Azar Qazvin +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.64
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Esteghlal Khuzestan to score first✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.01
–
Recent results
Esteghlal Khuzestan – last 6
LLWLDD
18 Oct
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
1–2
L
8 Oct
@ Gol Gohar
0–3
L
10 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Sepahan FC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Paykan
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Shams Azar Qazvin – last 6
DDLLDW
18 Oct
vs Sepahan FC
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Paykan
1–1
D
10 Sep
vs Gol Gohar
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Chadormalu SC
0–1
L
1 Sep
vs Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
28 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal Khuzestan and Shams Azar Qazvin.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
On our numbers Esteghlal Khuzestan have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Shams Azar Qazvin 35%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal Khuzestan 1–0 Shams Azar Qazvin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ghadir Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.