Independiente del Valle 60%Draw 23%Aucas 17%Expected goals 1.89 – 0.90
60%
Betarazi pick
Independiente del Valle to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente del Valle to win ✓60% · @1.50
Double chanceIndependiente del Valle or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.13
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aucas travel to face Independiente del Valle on Saturday 10 October in the Liga Pro, with Estadio Banco Guayaquil the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Independiente del Valle are 1st on 84 points after 35 matches; Aucas are 5th with 54. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independiente del Valle, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gualaceo SC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aucas, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Macara, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Independiente del Valle, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Aucas.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Jul 2026) it ended Aucas 0–3 Independiente del Valle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente del Valle 1.9 xG, Aucas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente del Valle 60%, draw 23%, Aucas 17%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente del Valle to win (60%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente del Valle 1–0 Aucas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente del Valle60%fair 1.67 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.70
Aucas17%fair 5.98 · @5.00
2.79Expected goals
1.89Independiente del Valle xG
0.90Aucas xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Independiente del Valle 1.9 – 0.9 Aucas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente del Valle to win✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Double chance
Independiente del Valle or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Independiente del Valle (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Independiente del Valle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Independiente del Valle to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Independiente del Valle ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente del Valle / FT Independiente del Valle✗
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our pick is Independiente del Valle to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
On our numbers Independiente del Valle have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aucas 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Our predicted score is Independiente del Valle 1–0 Aucas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Independiente del Valle vs Aucas?
Independiente del Valle vs Aucas (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banco Guayaquil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
