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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guayaquil City FC v Emelec: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador
3–2
FT

Emelec

LLWDW
Guayaquil City FC 37%Draw 25%Emelec 38% Expected goals 1.07 – 1.08
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultEmelec to win ✗38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.73

Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Guayaquil City FC v Emelec in the Liga Pro. In the table, Guayaquil City FC are 8th on 48 points after 36 matches; Emelec are 10th with 45. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones del Norte, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

Emelec, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Libertad, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Guayaquil City FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Emelec.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Aug 2026) it ended Guayaquil City FC 0–0 Emelec. The last 2 head-to-heads: Guayaquil City FC 1 win, Emelec 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guayaquil City FC 1.1 xG, Emelec 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guayaquil City FC 37%, draw 25%, Emelec 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Emelec. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guayaquil City FC37%fair 2.68 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.80
Emelec38%fair 2.63 · @2.40
2.15Expected goals
1.07Guayaquil City FC xG
1.08Emelec xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Guayaquil City FC 1.1 – 1.1 Emelec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmelec to win ✗38%2.632.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.35
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Draw no betEmelec (draw no bet) ✗50%1.98–
Asian handicapGuayaquil City FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗93%1.07–
First team to scoreEmelec to score first ✓44%2.25–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗20%4.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.73–

Recent results

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

DWLLWW
20 Sepvs Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Sepvs Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
8 Sep@ Orense SC3–4L
2 Sep@ Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
29 Augvs LDU de Quito2–1W
22 Aug@ Tecnico Universitario3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Emelec – last 6

LLWDWL
20 Sepvs Libertad1–2L
13 Sep@ Macara0–1L
8 Sepvs Manta FC1–0W
4 Sep@ Libertad1–1D
31 Augvs Leones del Norte2–1W
24 Aug@ LDU de Quito0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Aug 2026Guayaquil City FC v Emelec0–0
18 Apr 2026Emelec v Guayaquil City FC1–3
Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

On our numbers Guayaquil City FC have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Emelec 38%.

How many goals will there be in Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

Our predicted score is Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Emelec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec?

Guayaquil City FC vs Emelec (Liga Pro) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.