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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Universidad Catolica: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

WWWWW
2–2
FT
Macara 39%Draw 23%Universidad Catolica 38% Expected goals 1.27 – 1.25
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Macara to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMacara to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.36

Macara vs Universidad Catolica: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Liga Pro brings Macara against Universidad Catolica at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Macara are 2nd on 67 points after 36 matches; Universidad Catolica are 3rd with 54. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Macara, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Barcelona SC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Universidad Catolica, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over LDU de Quito, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Macara, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Universidad Catolica.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Oct 2026) it ended Universidad Catolica 0–1 Macara. The last 3 head-to-heads: Macara 1 win, Universidad Catolica 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.3 xG, Universidad Catolica 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 39%, draw 23%, Universidad Catolica 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Macara to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara39%fair 2.56 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
Universidad Catolica38%fair 2.62 · @2.40
2.51Expected goals
1.27Macara xG
1.25Universidad Catolica xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Macara 1.3 – 1.2 Universidad Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMacara to win ✗39%2.562.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.73
Draw no betMacara (draw no bet)51%1.98–
Asian handicapUniversidad Catolica +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.351.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreMacara to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Macara / FT Macara ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.36–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

WWWWWW
31 Octvs Barcelona SC3–0W
25 Oct@ LDU de Quito2–1W
18 Octvs Independiente del Valle1–0W
11 Oct@ Universidad Catolica1–0W
19 Sep@ Aucas2–1W
13 Sepvs Emelec1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Universidad Catolica – last 6

WLDDDL
5 Nov@ LDU de Quito2–1W
1 Novvs Aucas1–2L
30 Octvs LDU de Quito2–2D
23 Oct@ Independiente del Valle0–0D
18 Oct@ Barcelona SC1–1D
11 Octvs Macara0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Oct 2026Universidad Catolica v Macara0–1
18 Aug 2026Macara v Universidad Catolica1–1
24 Apr 2026Universidad Catolica v Macara4–0
Macara vs Universidad Catolica head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

On our numbers Macara have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Universidad Catolica 38%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Universidad Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Universidad Catolica?

Macara vs Universidad Catolica (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.