Value bet: Leones del Norte to win @ 1.73 – our chance 66% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLeones del Norte to win ✗66% · @1.73
Double chanceLeones del Norte or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Liga Pro brings Leones del Norte against Guayaquil City FC at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT. In the table, Leones del Norte are 9th on 47 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leones del Norte, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Emelec, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Guayaquil City FC, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Libertad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Guayaquil City FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Leones del Norte.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Sep 2026) it ended Guayaquil City FC 1–1 Leones del Norte. The last 3 head-to-heads: Leones del Norte 0 wins, Guayaquil City FC 0, draws 3. Those games averaged 1.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones del Norte 1.8 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones del Norte 66%, draw 21%, Guayaquil City FC 13%.
Lower-risk option: Leones del Norte or draw (87%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Leones del Norte to win @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones del Norte 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones del Norte66%fair 1.53 · @1.73
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.40
Guayaquil City FC13%fair 7.49 · @5.00
2.43Expected goals
1.79Leones del Norte xG
0.64Guayaquil City FC xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Leones del Norte 1.8 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
On our numbers Leones del Norte have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guayaquil City FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
Our predicted score is Leones del Norte 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC?
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
