Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Emelec v Guayaquil City FC: numbers & prediction

Liga Pro · Ecuador · Estadio George Capwell

Emelec

WLLLW
0–1
FT
Emelec 61%Draw 25%Guayaquil City FC 14% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.64
61%
Betarazi pick

Emelec to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultEmelec to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Emelec welcome Guayaquil City FC to Estadio George Capwell for a Liga Pro fixture on Sunday 25 October (22:00 WAT). In the table, Emelec are 10th on 45 points after 36 matches; Guayaquil City FC are 8th with 48. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Emelec, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Leones del Norte, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Guayaquil City FC, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Libertad, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Oct 2026) it ended Guayaquil City FC 3–2 Emelec. The last 3 head-to-heads: Emelec 0 wins, Guayaquil City FC 2, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Emelec 1.6 xG, Guayaquil City FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Emelec 61%, draw 25%, Guayaquil City FC 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Emelec or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Emelec to win (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Emelec 1–0 Guayaquil City FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Emelec61%fair 1.64 · @1.73
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Guayaquil City FC14%fair 7.36 · @4.33
2.29Expected goals
1.65Emelec xG
0.64Guayaquil City FC xG
49%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Emelec 1.6 – 0.6 Guayaquil City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEmelec to win ✗61%1.641.73 ▲
Double chanceEmelec or draw ✗86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.70
Draw no betEmelec (draw no bet) ✗82%1.22–
Asian handicapEmelec -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreEmelec to score first ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Emelec / FT Emelec ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.00–

Recent results

Emelec – last 6

WLLLWD
18 Oct@ Leones del Norte3–1W
10 Oct@ Guayaquil City FC2–3L
20 Sepvs Libertad1–2L
13 Sep@ Macara0–1L
8 Sepvs Manta FC1–0W
4 Sep@ Libertad1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Guayaquil City FC – last 6

LWDWLL
18 Oct@ Libertad0–4L
10 Octvs Emelec3–2W
20 Sepvs Leones del Norte1–1D
12 Sepvs Mushuc Runa SC3–1W
8 Sep@ Orense SC3–4L
2 Sep@ Deportivo Cuenca0–1L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Oct 2026Guayaquil City FC v Emelec3–2
10 Aug 2026Guayaquil City FC v Emelec0–0
18 Apr 2026Emelec v Guayaquil City FC1–3
Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC head-to-head page →

Liga Pro table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle302424+4074
2Universidad Catolica301497+2451
3Macara301569+851
4Aucas301488+550
5LDU de Quito3013710+746
6Barcelona SC3011118+744
7Libertad3011811-141
8Leones del Norte3010911-139
9Guayaquil City FC3010911-339
10Emelec3010911-939
11Mushuc Runa SC3091110-338
12Deportivo Cuenca3010614-1236
13Orense SC309615-1133
14Tecnico Universitario3010218-1432
15Delfin SC307716-1228
16Manta FC305619-2521

More Liga Pro predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our pick is Emelec to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

On our numbers Emelec have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Guayaquil City FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

Our predicted score is Emelec 1–0 Guayaquil City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC?

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC (Liga Pro) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio George Capwell.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.