Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cosmos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCosmos to win ✓60% · @1.85
Double chanceCosmos or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.61
Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Campionato brings Cosmos against Juvenes Dogana. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Cosmos are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 8 matches; Juvenes Dogana are 11th (lower half) with 7.
Current form
Cosmos, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Murata, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Juvenes Dogana, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Tre Penne, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cosmos, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Juvenes Dogana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cosmos 1.9 xG, Juvenes Dogana 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cosmos 60%, draw 23%, Juvenes Dogana 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cosmos or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Cosmos to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cosmos or draw (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cosmos 1–0 Juvenes Dogana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cosmos60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Juvenes Dogana16%fair 6.18 · @3.60
2.80Expected goals
1.91Cosmos xG
0.89Juvenes Dogana xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Cosmos 1.9 – 0.9 Juvenes Dogana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cosmos to win✓
60%
1.66
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Cosmos or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Cosmos (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Cosmos -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Cosmos to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Cosmos ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cosmos / FT Cosmos✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.61
–
Recent results
Cosmos – last 6
WWWLDD
18 Sep
@ Murata
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Pennarossa
6–1
W
8 Sep
@ San Giovanni
1–0
W
4 Sep
@ Tre Penne
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Libertas
1–1
D
6 May
vs Tre Penne
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juvenes Dogana – last 6
LLLLWL
20 Sep
@ Tre Penne
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Folgore
1–2
L
8 Sep
@ Tre Penne
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Libertas
1–2
L
28 Aug
vs Faetano
4–0
W
6 May
vs Virtus
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cosmos and Juvenes Dogana.
What is the prediction for Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
Our pick is Cosmos or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
On our numbers Cosmos have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Juvenes Dogana 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
Our predicted score is Cosmos 1–0 Juvenes Dogana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana?
Cosmos vs Juvenes Dogana (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
