Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.33
Virtus vs San Marino Academy: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Campionato brings Virtus against San Marino Academy. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Virtus are 3rd, among the top four, on 19 points after 8 matches; San Marino Academy are 15th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Virtus, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tre Fiori, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
San Marino Academy, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Folgore, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Virtus, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.3 for San Marino Academy.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus 2.0 xG, San Marino Academy 0.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 38%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus 75%, draw 18%, San Marino Academy 7%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (51%, odds 2.15 – longer than our fair 1.96, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus 1–0 San Marino Academy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus75%fair 1.33 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @7.00
San Marino Academy7%fair 15.21 · @19.00
2.34Expected goals
1.96Virtus xG
0.39San Marino Academy xG
38%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–018%
3–012%
0–010%
1–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Virtus 2.0 – 0.4 San Marino Academy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus to win✓
75%
1.33
1.12
Double chance
Virtus or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
–
Draw no bet
Virtus (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.09
–
Asian handicap
Virtus -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Virtus to score first✓
75%
1.33
–
Half-time result
Virtus ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus / FT Virtus✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.33
–
Recent results
Virtus – last 6
WWWWDW
18 Sep
@ Tre Fiori
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Libertas
2–0
W
9 Sep
@ Murata
3–0
W
4 Sep
@ Fiorentino
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs La Fiorita
0–0
D
16 Jul
vs Dila
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Marino Academy – last 6
LDDLLL
19 Sep
@ Folgore
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Faetano
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ La Fiorita
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Fiorentino
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Folgore
0–3
L
7 Apr
vs Fiorentino
0–3
L
0.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus and San Marino Academy.
What is the prediction for Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
On our numbers Virtus have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and San Marino Academy 7%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Our predicted score is Virtus 1–0 San Marino Academy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Virtus vs San Marino Academy?
Virtus vs San Marino Academy (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
