Value bet: Fiorentino to win @ 2.94 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLibertas to win ✗40% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.04
Fiorentino vs Libertas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fiorentino welcome Libertas for a Campionato fixture on Sunday 8 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, Fiorentino are 8th, upper half, on 9 points after 8 matches; Libertas are 9th (lower half) with 9. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fiorentino, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cosmos, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Libertas, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to La Fiorita, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fiorentino 1.3 xG, Libertas 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fiorentino 38%, draw 22%, Libertas 40%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Fiorentino to win @2.94 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fiorentino 1–1 Libertas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fiorentino38%fair 2.63 · @2.94
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.28
Libertas40%fair 2.48 · @2.16
2.60Expected goals
1.28Fiorentino xG
1.32Libertas xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Fiorentino 1.3 – 1.3 Libertas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Libertas to win✗
40%
2.48
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Draw no bet
Libertas (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Fiorentino +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.86
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
First team to score
Libertas to score first✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Libertas / FT Libertas✗
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.04
–
Recent results
Fiorentino – last 6
LLDWLD
1 Nov
@ Cosmos
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Tre Fiori
0–5
L
24 Oct
vs Cailungo
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Faetano
6–0
W
19 Sep
@ Pennarossa
1–3
L
11 Sep
vs La Fiorita
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Libertas – last 6
LLLWDL
31 Oct
@ La Fiorita
0–1
L
28 Oct
@ Folgore
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Folgore
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Cailungo
2–1
W
18 Sep
vs Faetano
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Virtus
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fiorentino and Libertas.
What is the prediction for Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Fiorentino vs Libertas?
On our numbers Fiorentino have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Libertas 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentino vs Libertas?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Our predicted score is Fiorentino 1–1 Libertas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fiorentino vs Libertas?
Fiorentino vs Libertas (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
