Tre Penne 73%Draw 15%Murata 12%Expected goals 2.35 – 0.78
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.29Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 52% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTre Penne to win ✓73% · @1.04
Double chanceTre Penne or draw ✓88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Tre Penne vs Murata: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Tre Penne welcome Murata for a Campionato fixture on Sunday 8 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, Tre Penne are 2nd, among the top four, on 20 points after 8 matches; Murata are 14th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tre Penne, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Folgore, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Murata, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Tre Fiori, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tre Penne, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.2 for Murata.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Murata 0–4 Tre Penne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tre Penne 2.4 xG, Murata 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tre Penne 73%, draw 15%, Murata 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.50.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tre Penne 2–1 Murata. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tre Penne73%fair 1.37 · @1.04
Draw15%fair 6.52 · @8.20
Murata12%fair 8.69 · @25.00
3.13Expected goals
2.35Tre Penne xG
0.78Murata xG
52%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tre Penne 2.4 – 0.8 Murata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Tre Penne vs Murata?
On our numbers Tre Penne have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Murata 12%.
How many goals will there be in Tre Penne vs Murata?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tre Penne vs Murata?
Our predicted score is Tre Penne 2–1 Murata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Tre Penne vs Murata?
Tre Penne vs Murata (Campionato) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
