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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Martinique v Honduras: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · Stade Pierre-Aliker
2–1
FT
Martinique 15%Draw 24%Honduras 62% Expected goals 1.04 – 2.21
62%
Betarazi pick

Honduras to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultHonduras to win ✗62% · @1.67
Double chanceHonduras or draw ✗85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Martinique vs Honduras: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 3 October the CONCACAF Nations League brings Martinique against Honduras at Stade Pierre-Aliker. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.

Current form

Martinique, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Suriname, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Honduras, last 4: WLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Jamaica, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Honduras, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Martinique.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Martinique 1.0 xG, Honduras 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Martinique 15%, draw 24%, Honduras 62%.
  • Lower-risk option: Honduras or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Honduras to win (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Martinique 1–2 Honduras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Martinique15%fair 6.87 · @4.80
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.40
Honduras62%fair 1.62 · @1.67
3.25Expected goals
1.04Martinique xG
2.21Honduras xG
56%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
0–29%
1–19%
0–19%
1–37%
0–37%

From our goals model: Martinique 1.0 – 2.2 Honduras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHonduras to win ✗62%1.621.67
Double chanceHonduras or draw ✗85%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.91 ▲
Draw no betHonduras (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapHonduras -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreHonduras to score first65%1.53–
Half-time resultHonduras ahead at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Honduras / FT Honduras ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Martinique – last 4

LLLD
28 Sep@ Suriname1–2L
26 Sep@ El Salvador1–3L
29 Marvs El Salvador0–1L
26 Marvs Cuba2–2D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Honduras – last 4

WLLD
29 Sep@ Jamaica1–0W
26 Sepvs Suriname2–3L
7 Jun@ Argentina0–2L
31 Mar@ Peru2–2D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Martinique and Honduras.

Martinique vs Honduras head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Martinique vs Honduras?

Our pick is Honduras to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Martinique vs Honduras?

On our numbers Martinique have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Honduras 62%.

How many goals will there be in Martinique vs Honduras?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Martinique vs Honduras?

Our predicted score is Martinique 1–2 Honduras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Martinique vs Honduras?

Martinique vs Honduras (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Aliker.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.