Sint Maarten 18%Draw 21%St. Vincent Grenadines 61%Expected goals 0.37 – 1.13
82%
Betarazi pick
St. Vincent Grenadines or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: St. Vincent Grenadines to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSt. Vincent Grenadines to win ✓61% · @1.80
Double chanceSt. Vincent Grenadines or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗25% · fair 3.98
Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the CONCACAF Nations League brings Sint Maarten against St. Vincent Grenadines at FFB Stadium. Kick-off: 22:00 WAT.
Current form
Sint Maarten, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to French Guyana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
St. Vincent Grenadines, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Belize, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours St. Vincent Grenadines, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Sint Maarten.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sint Maarten 0.4 xG, St. Vincent Grenadines 1.1 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sint Maarten 18%, draw 21%, St. Vincent Grenadines 61%.
Lower-risk option: St. Vincent Grenadines or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: St. Vincent Grenadines to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was St. Vincent Grenadines or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sint Maarten 0–1 St. Vincent Grenadines. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sint Maarten18%fair 5.58 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.40
St. Vincent Grenadines61%fair 1.65 · @1.80
1.50Expected goals
0.37Sint Maarten xG
1.13St. Vincent Grenadines xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–125%
0–022%
0–214%
1–19%
1–08%
0–35%
From our goals model: Sint Maarten 0.4 – 1.1 St. Vincent Grenadines expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
St. Vincent Grenadines to win✓
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
St. Vincent Grenadines or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
St. Vincent Grenadines (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sint Maarten +1 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
93%
1.07
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
98%
1.02
–
First team to score
St. Vincent Grenadines to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT St. Vincent Grenadines / FT St. Vincent Grenadines✓
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
25%
3.98
–
Recent results
Sint Maarten – last 3
LLD
29 Sep
@ French Guyana
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Belize
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Dominica
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
St. Vincent Grenadines – last 4
WWWL
30 Sep
@ Belize
1–0
W
26 Sep
vs French Guyana
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Barbados
3–2
W
27 Mar
@ Bonaire
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sint Maarten and St. Vincent Grenadines.
What is the prediction for Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
Our pick is St. Vincent Grenadines or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
On our numbers Sint Maarten have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 21% and St. Vincent Grenadines 61%.
How many goals will there be in Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
Our predicted score is Sint Maarten 0–1 St. Vincent Grenadines, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines?
Sint Maarten vs St. Vincent Grenadines (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at FFB Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Barbados4
Bermuda1
Bonaire2
Grenada3
Martinique2
Honduras1
El Salvador0
Jamaica2