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Turks and Caicos Islands v British Virgin Islands: numbers & prediction

CONCACAF Nations League · North & Central America · TCIFA National Academy

Turks and Caicos Islands

WL
3–0
FT

British Virgin Islands

LLLLD
Turks and Caicos Islands 63%Draw 20%British Virgin Islands 17% Expected goals 1.81 – 0.79
83%
Betarazi pick

Turks and Caicos Islands or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Turks and Caicos Islands to win @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTurks and Caicos Islands to win ✓63% · @1.80
Double chanceTurks and Caicos Islands or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Turks and Caicos Islands welcome British Virgin Islands to TCIFA National Academy for a CONCACAF Nations League fixture on Sunday 4 October (21:00 WAT).

Current form

British Virgin Islands, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Montserrat, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended British Virgin Islands 0–3 Turks and Caicos Islands.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Turks and Caicos Islands 1.8 xG, British Virgin Islands 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Turks and Caicos Islands 63%, draw 20%, British Virgin Islands 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Turks and Caicos Islands or draw (83%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Turks and Caicos Islands to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Turks and Caicos Islands or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turks and Caicos Islands 1–0 British Virgin Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Turks and Caicos Islands63%fair 1.59 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.60
British Virgin Islands17%fair 5.93 · @3.80
2.60Expected goals
1.81Turks and Caicos Islands xG
0.79British Virgin Islands xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Turks and Caicos Islands 1.8 – 0.8 British Virgin Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTurks and Caicos Islands to win ✓63%1.591.80 ▲
Double chanceTurks and Caicos Islands or draw ✓83%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.60
Draw no betTurks and Caicos Islands (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapTurks and Caicos Islands -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreTurks and Caicos Islands to score first ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultTurks and Caicos Islands ahead at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Turks and Caicos Islands / FT Turks and Caicos Islands ✓39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Recent results

Turks and Caicos Islands – last 2

WL
29 Sep@ British Virgin Islands3–0W
23 Sepvs Montserrat0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

British Virgin Islands – last 5

LLLLD
1 Octvs Montserrat0–2L
29 Sepvs Turks and Caicos Islands0–3L
26 Sep@ Montserrat0–3L
3 Jun@ Gibraltar0–4L
27 Mar@ Cayman Islands1–1D
0.2Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Sep 2026British Virgin Islands v Turks and Caicos Islands0–3
Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Belize0 French Guyana2 137%3.00X25%2.90238%2.40 0.7–0.8xG NGNot both teams to score 50%@1.80 ✓
FT Guyana8 Dominica1 172%1.12X19%7.5028%17.00 2.2–0.6xG GGBoth teams to score 50%@2.05 ✓
FT Bahamas2 US Virgin Islands3 114%5.50X18%4.80268%1.40 1.5–3.1xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.44 ✓
FT Puerto Rico1 Cayman Islands0 180%1.07X12%11.0028%29.00 1.7–0.2xG NGNot both teams to score 58%@1.55 ✓
FT Trinidad and Tobago1 Curaçao1 113%5.80X21%4.20266%1.44 1.3–2.7xG 2Curaçao to win 66%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands?

Our pick is Turks and Caicos Islands or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands?

On our numbers Turks and Caicos Islands have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and British Virgin Islands 17%.

How many goals will there be in Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands?

Our predicted score is Turks and Caicos Islands 1–0 British Virgin Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands?

Turks and Caicos Islands vs British Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at TCIFA National Academy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.