Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultUS Virgin Islands to win ✓68% · @1.40
Double chanceUS Virgin Islands or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.33
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Virgin Islands travel to face Bahamas on Sunday 4 October in the CONCACAF Nations League, with Bethlehem Soccer Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Bahamas, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to US Virgin Islands, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
US Virgin Islands, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Saint Martin, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Momentum favours US Virgin Islands, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.0 for Bahamas.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended US Virgin Islands 3–1 Bahamas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bahamas 1.5 xG, US Virgin Islands 3.1 xG – a total near 4.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 84% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bahamas 14%, draw 18%, US Virgin Islands 68%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bahamas 1–3 US Virgin Islands. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bahamas14%fair 7.14 · @5.50
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.80
US Virgin Islands68%fair 1.47 · @1.40
4.60Expected goals
1.49Bahamas xG
3.11US Virgin Islands xG
68%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
1–27%
1–46%
2–36%
2–25%
0–35%
From our goals model: Bahamas 1.5 – 3.1 US Virgin Islands expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
On our numbers Bahamas have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and US Virgin Islands 68%.
How many goals will there be in Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
Our predicted score is Bahamas 1–3 US Virgin Islands, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands?
Bahamas vs US Virgin Islands (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Bethlehem Soccer Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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