Bermuda vs St. Lucia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 November the CONCACAF Nations League brings Bermuda against St. Lucia at Stade Roger Zami. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Current form
Bermuda, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Barbados, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
St. Lucia, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Guadeloupe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours St. Lucia, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for Bermuda.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Sep 2026) it ended St. Lucia 5–2 Bermuda.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bermuda 1.3 xG, St. Lucia 2.5 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bermuda 18%, draw 17%, St. Lucia 65%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.41.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bermuda 1–2 St. Lucia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bermuda18%fair 5.55 · @5.25
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.32
St. Lucia65%fair 1.53 · @1.43
3.77Expected goals
1.30Bermuda xG
2.48St. Lucia xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Bermuda 1.3 – 2.5 St. Lucia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bermuda
St. Lucia
Attack vs CONCACAF Nations League average
-6%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+39%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.41
2.51
Our own ratings from every CONCACAF Nations League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
On our numbers Bermuda have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 17% and St. Lucia 65%.
How many goals will there be in Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
Our predicted score is Bermuda 1–2 St. Lucia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Bermuda vs St. Lucia?
Bermuda vs St. Lucia (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Roger Zami.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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