Value bet: Curaçao to win @ 3.42 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPanama to win41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.68
Curaçao vs Panama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Panama travel to face Curaçao on Friday 13 November in the CONCACAF Nations League – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Curaçao, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Trinidad and Tobago, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Panama, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ecuador, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Curaçao, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Panama.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Curaçao 1.7 xG, Panama 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Curaçao 35%, draw 24%, Panama 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Curaçao to win @3.42 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Curaçao 1–1 Panama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Curaçao35%fair 2.85 · @3.42
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.34
Panama41%fair 2.45 · @2.05
3.35Expected goals
1.74Curaçao xG
1.60Panama xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Curaçao 1.7 – 1.6 Panama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Panama to win
41%
2.45
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.85
1.87
Draw no bet
Panama (draw no bet)
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Panama +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
2.11 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.04
First team to score
Curaçao to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Curaçao / FT Curaçao
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
Curaçao – last 6
DWWWLD
4 Oct
@ Trinidad and Tobago
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs Trinidad and Tobago
1–0
W
28 Sep
vs Nicaragua
6–1
W
25 Sep
@ Costa Rica
4–3
W
25 Jun
vs Ivory Coast
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Ecuador
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Panama – last 6
DDDLLL
5 Oct
@ Ecuador
1–1
D
1 Oct
vs New Zealand
1–1
D
25 Sep
@ India
1–1
D
27 Jun
vs England
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Croatia
0–1
L
18 Jun
@ Ghana
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Panama.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Curaçao vs Panama?
On our numbers Curaçao have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Panama 41%.
How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Panama?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Curaçao vs Panama?
Our predicted score is Curaçao 1–1 Panama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Curaçao vs Panama?
Curaçao vs Panama (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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