Value bet: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBorussia Mönchengladbach to win ✗46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · fair 1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.21
FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: FC St. Pauli v Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
FC St. Pauli, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Energie Cottbus, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Borussia Mönchengladbach, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to FSV Mainz 05, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–0 FC St. Pauli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC St. Pauli 1.8 xG, Borussia Mönchengladbach 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC St. Pauli 34%, draw 20%, Borussia Mönchengladbach 46%.
Price worth noting: Borussia Mönchengladbach to win @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC St. Pauli 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC St. Pauli34%fair 2.94 · @2.38
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.75
Borussia Mönchengladbach46%fair 2.16 · @2.35
3.83Expected goals
1.76FC St. Pauli xG
2.07Borussia Mönchengladbach xG
57%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: FC St. Pauli 1.8 – 2.1 Borussia Mönchengladbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Borussia Mönchengladbach to win✗
46%
2.16
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.24
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
–
Draw no bet
Borussia Mönchengladbach (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
FC St. Pauli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Borussia Mönchengladbach to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Borussia Mönchengladbach ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Borussia Mönchengladbach / FT Borussia Mönchengladbach✗
What is the prediction for FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
On our numbers FC St. Pauli have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 46%.
How many goals will there be in FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our predicted score is FC St. Pauli 1–2 Borussia Mönchengladbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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