Russia vs Nigeria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nigeria travel to face Russia on Tuesday 6 October in the Friendlies, with Nizhny Novgorod Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
Russia, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Namibia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Nigeria, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Guinea-Bissau, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Russia, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Nigeria.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Russia 2.0 xG, Nigeria 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Russia 68%, draw 22%, Nigeria 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.97.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Russia 2–0 Nigeria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Russia68%fair 1.48 · @1.58
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.75
Nigeria11%fair 9.40 · @5.70
2.75Expected goals
2.04Russia xG
0.70Nigeria xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–06%
From our goals model: Russia 2.0 – 0.7 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Russia to win✗
68%
1.48
1.58 ▲
Double chance
Russia or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.97
Draw no bet
Russia (draw no bet)
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Russia -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
1.05
First team to score
Russia to score first
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Russia ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Russia / FT Russia✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Russia – last 6
WWWWLD
3 Oct
vs Namibia
6–0
W
29 Sep
vs Iran
2–0
W
9 Jun
vs Trinidad and Tobago
3–0
W
5 Jun
vs Burkina Faso
3–0
W
28 May
@ Egypt
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Mali
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 6
LWLDWD
29 Sep
@ Guinea-Bissau
0–3
L
25 Sep
vs Madagascar
2–1
W
10 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
3 Jun
@ Poland
2–2
D
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Russia and Nigeria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Russia vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Russia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nigeria 11%.
How many goals will there be in Russia vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Russia vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Russia 2–0 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Russia vs Nigeria?
Russia vs Nigeria (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 6 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
South Korea2
Uzbekistan0
Denmark U191
Netherlands U191
China0
Tajikistan1
India1
Uruguay6
Portugal U194
Austria U190
Jordan0
Venezuela0
Algeria2
Niger1