Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Universidad to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.86
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Segunda División brings Alianza Universidad against Bentín Tacna Heroica at Estadio Heraclio Tapia. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Alianza Universidad are 5th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Bentín Tacna Heroica are 1st (leading the league) with 29.
Current form
Alianza Universidad, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Binacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bentín Tacna Heroica, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estudiantil CNI, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bentín Tacna Heroica, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Alianza Universidad.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Alianza Universidad 1–0 Bentín Tacna Heroica.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Universidad 1.2 xG, Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Universidad 43%, draw 23%, Bentín Tacna Heroica 35%.
Price worth noting: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Universidad43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Bentín Tacna Heroica35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.25Expected goals
1.21Alianza Universidad xG
1.04Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.2 – 1.0 Bentín Tacna Heroica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 35%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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