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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kristiansund BK v Aalesund: numbers & prediction

NM Cupen · Norway · Kristiansund Stadion

Kristiansund BK

DLLLL
0–2
FT

Aalesund

LWLWD
Kristiansund BK 41%Draw 21%Aalesund 38% Expected goals 3.55 – 3.45
76%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Aalesund to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKristiansund BK to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–3 ✗4% · fair 24.20

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 28 October the NM Cupen brings Kristiansund BK against Aalesund at Kristiansund Stadion. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Kristiansund BK, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with KFUM Oslo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Aalesund, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sarpsborg 08 FF, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Aalesund, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Kristiansund BK.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Oct 2026) it ended Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kristiansund BK 0 wins, Aalesund 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kristiansund BK 3.6 xG, Aalesund 3.4 xG – a total near 7.0. That is an open game on paper: 97% for three or more goals, 76% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kristiansund BK 41%, draw 21%, Aalesund 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (76%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Aalesund to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (76%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.31, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kristiansund BK 3–3 Aalesund. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kristiansund BK41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.40
Aalesund38%fair 2.64 · @2.80
7.00Expected goals
3.55Kristiansund BK xG
3.45Aalesund xG
76%Both score
97%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–35%
4–34%
3–24%
3–44%
2–34%
4–24%

From our goals model: Kristiansund BK 3.6 – 3.4 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKristiansund BK to win ✗41%2.442.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗76%1.311.40 ▲
Draw no betKristiansund BK (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapAalesund +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓99%1.01–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗97%1.03–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 4.5 goalsOver 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreKristiansund BK to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultKristiansund BK ahead at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kristiansund BK / FT Kristiansund BK ✗28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 4–3 ✗4%24.20–

Recent results

Kristiansund BK – last 6

DLLLLW
25 Octvs KFUM Oslo2–2D
17 Octvs Aalesund1–4L
10 Oct@ BodoGlimt1–3L
4 Oct@ Molde0–3L
19 Sepvs Rosenborg1–3L
16 Sep@ Brattvåg2–1W
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

LWLWDL
25 Oct@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2L
17 Oct@ Kristiansund BK4–1W
11 Octvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4L
19 Sep@ Molde2–1W
16 Sep@ Førde2–2D
13 Sep@ KFUM Oslo1–2L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Oct 2026Kristiansund BK v Aalesund1–4
27 Jun 2026Kristiansund BK v Aalesund0–3
Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund head-to-head page →

More NM Cupen predictions

League hub
FT Tromsdalen Uil1 Lyn3 148%2.06X20%3.80233%2.96 2.2–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.42 ✓
FT Asane3 hodd0 137%2.25X21%3.40241%2.70 1.3–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.44 ✗
FT Egersund1 Bryne0 159%1.85X18%3.50223%3.40 2.8–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 70%@1.36 ✗
FT Molde4 Stromsgodset1 172%1.20X21%6.0027%9.50 4.6–2.1xG GGBoth teams to score 73%@1.53 ✓
FT Pors Grenland1 Kongsvinger1 AET 3–1 114%4.50X20%3.90266%1.57 2.4–4.3xG GGBoth teams to score 76%@1.40 ✓
FT Ranheim2 Fredrikstad5 124%3.70X16%3.70260%1.75 1.6–2.6xG GGBoth teams to score 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Rosenborg1 Ham-Kam2 173%1.22X15%5.80212%10.00 3.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 65%@1.73 ✓
FT Grorud0 Brann2 18%8.00X19%5.00273%1.25 1.0–2.8xG 2Brann to win 73%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

On our numbers Kristiansund BK have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aalesund 38%.

How many goals will there be in Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

We expect about 7.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 97% likely and both teams score 76% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

Our predicted score is Kristiansund BK 3–3 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 7.0 goals in total.

When is Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund?

Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Kristiansund Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.