Molde vs Stromsgodset: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Stromsgodset travel to face Molde on Wednesday 28 October in the NM Cupen, with Aker Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Molde, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Fredrikstad, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game.
Stromsgodset, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Strommen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Molde 4.6 xG, Stromsgodset 2.1 xG – a total near 6.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 96% and GG at 73%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Molde 72%, draw 21%, Stromsgodset 7%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (73%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Molde 4–2 Stromsgodset. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Molde72%fair 1.38 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @6.00
Stromsgodset7%fair 14.21 · @9.50
6.75Expected goals
4.60Molde xG
2.15Stromsgodset xG
73%Both score
96%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
4–25%
7–25%
4–15%
5–25%
7–15%
3–24%
From our goals model: Molde 4.6 – 2.1 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
72%
1.38
1.20
Double chance
Molde or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
1.53 ▲
Draw no bet
Molde (draw no bet)✓
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Molde -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Molde to score first
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✓
62%
1.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✓
56%
1.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 4–2✗
5%
19.81
–
Recent results
Molde – last 6
WWDWLW
25 Oct
vs Fredrikstad
5–1
W
18 Oct
vs Start
6–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lillestrom
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
16 Sep
@ TryggLade
5–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Stromsgodset – last 6
LWWWWW
25 Oct
@ Strommen
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Haugesund
5–0
W
14 Oct
vs Kongsvinger
5–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lyn
5–1
W
3 Oct
vs Asane
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Raufoss
2–0
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Stromsgodset.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Molde vs Stromsgodset?
On our numbers Molde have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Stromsgodset 7%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Stromsgodset?
We expect about 6.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 96% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Stromsgodset?
Our predicted score is Molde 4–2 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.8 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Stromsgodset?
Molde vs Stromsgodset (NM Cupen) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tromsdalen Uil1
Lyn3
Asane3
hodd0
Egersund1
Bryne0
Kristiansund BK0
Aalesund2
Pors Grenland1
Kongsvinger1
Ranheim2
Fredrikstad5
Rosenborg1
Ham-Kam2
Grorud0
Brann2