Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 12 October the State Cup brings Hapoel Yarka against Beitar Nahariya. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.
Current form
Beitar Nahariya, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Yarka 0.9 xG, Beitar Nahariya 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Yarka 14%, draw 18%, Beitar Nahariya 68%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Beitar Nahariya to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Yarka 0–2 Beitar Nahariya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Yarka14%fair 7.37 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.00
Beitar Nahariya68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
3.15Expected goals
0.89Hapoel Yarka xG
2.25Beitar Nahariya xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Hapoel Yarka 0.9 – 2.3 Beitar Nahariya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beitar Nahariya to win✓
68%
1.47
1.50
Double chance
Beitar Nahariya or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.67
Draw no bet
Beitar Nahariya (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Beitar Nahariya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
First team to score
Beitar Nahariya to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Beitar Nahariya ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beitar Nahariya / FT Beitar Nahariya✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Hapoel Yarka
No recent results on record.
Beitar Nahariya – last 6
DLWWWW
9 Oct
vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1–1
D
30 Sep
@ Ironi Nesher
1–4
L
23 Sep
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2–1
W
10 Sep
vs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Yarka and Beitar Nahariya.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
Our pick is Beitar Nahariya to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
On our numbers Hapoel Yarka have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Beitar Nahariya 68%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Yarka 0–2 Beitar Nahariya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?
Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya (State Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.