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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hapoel Yarka v Beitar Nahariya: numbers & prediction

State Cup · Israel
Hapoel Yarka 14%Draw 18%Beitar Nahariya 68% Expected goals 0.89 – 2.25
68%
Betarazi pick

Beitar Nahariya to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultBeitar Nahariya to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceBeitar Nahariya or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 12 October the State Cup brings Hapoel Yarka against Beitar Nahariya. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Beitar Nahariya, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hapoel Umm al-Fahm, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Yarka 0.9 xG, Beitar Nahariya 2.3 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Yarka 14%, draw 18%, Beitar Nahariya 68%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Beitar Nahariya to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Yarka 0–2 Beitar Nahariya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Yarka14%fair 7.37 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @4.00
Beitar Nahariya68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
3.15Expected goals
0.89Hapoel Yarka xG
2.25Beitar Nahariya xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Hapoel Yarka 0.9 – 2.3 Beitar Nahariya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBeitar Nahariya to win ✓68%1.471.50
Double chanceBeitar Nahariya or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Draw no betBeitar Nahariya (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapBeitar Nahariya -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.241.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.641.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
First team to scoreBeitar Nahariya to score first ✓68%1.46–
Half-time resultBeitar Nahariya ahead at half-time ✓50%2.01–
Half-time / full-timeHT Beitar Nahariya / FT Beitar Nahariya ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Hapoel Yarka

No recent results on record.

Beitar Nahariya – last 6

DLWWWW
9 Octvs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm1–1D
30 Sep@ Ironi Nesher1–4L
23 Sepvs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan3–0W
18 Sep@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus2–1W
10 Sepvs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt2–0W
6 Sep@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Yarka and Beitar Nahariya.

Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya head-to-head page →

More State Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?

Our pick is Beitar Nahariya to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?

On our numbers Hapoel Yarka have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Beitar Nahariya 68%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Yarka 0–2 Beitar Nahariya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya?

Hapoel Yarka vs Beitar Nahariya (State Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.