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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Hapoel Bnei Musmus: numbers & prediction

State Cup · Israel

Hapoel Nazareth Illit

WLWWD
4–0
FT

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

DWDLL
Hapoel Nazareth Illit 57%Draw 20%Hapoel Bnei Musmus 22% Expected goals 1.72 – 0.95
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✓57% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Monday 12 October: Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Hapoel Bnei Musmus in the State Cup.

Current form

Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ironi Baka El Garbiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Hapoel Nazareth Illit, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.7 xG, Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Nazareth Illit 57%, draw 20%, Hapoel Bnei Musmus 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Nazareth Illit57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
Hapoel Bnei Musmus22%fair 4.45 · @3.90
2.67Expected goals
1.72Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG
0.95Hapoel Bnei Musmus xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1.7 – 1.0 Hapoel Bnei Musmus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✓57%1.751.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.981.83
Draw no betHapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet) ✓72%1.39–
Asian handicapHapoel Bnei Musmus +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.351.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.11
First team to scoreHapoel Nazareth Illit to score first ✓60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit ✓34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.27–

Recent results

Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6

WLWWDD
8 Oct@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya2–1W
30 Sepvs Tzeirey Tamra2–3L
24 Sep@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek3–2W
9 Sepvs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel1–0W
5 Sep@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2–2D
25 Mayvs Hapoel Acre2–2D
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hapoel Bnei Musmus – last 6

DWDLLD
9 Oct@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0–0D
30 Sepvs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik1–0W
23 Sep@ Tira1–1D
18 Sepvs Beitar Nahariya1–2L
10 Sep@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel0–3L
6 Sepvs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Hapoel Bnei Musmus.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus head-to-head page →

More State Cup predictions

League hub
FT Hapoel Yarka0 Beitar Nahariya1 114%5.00X18%4.00268%1.50 0.9–2.3xG 2Beitar Nahariya to win 68%@1.50 ✓
FT Hapoel Ramat HaSharon2 Bnei Eilat0 159%1.67X23%3.75217%4.00 2.1–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✓
FT Dimona2 Bnei Yehuda0 172%1.28X18%4.50210%9.00 2.5–0.9xG 1Dimona to win 72%@1.28 ✓
FT Hapoel Herzliya0 Hapoel Azor1 157%1.85X26%3.20217%3.80 1.8–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hapoel Bnei Musmus 22%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 1–1 Hapoel Bnei Musmus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus (State Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.