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1. FC Nürnberg v FC Ingolstadt 04: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World · Max-Morlock-Stadion

1. FC Nürnberg

WWDWD
3–1
FT

FC Ingolstadt 04

LLWLW
1. FC Nürnberg 66%Draw 20%FC Ingolstadt 04 14% Expected goals 2.49 – 1.12
66%
Betarazi pick

1. FC Nürnberg to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

Result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✓66% · @1.60
Double chance1. FC Nürnberg or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.65

1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

1. FC Nürnberg welcome FC Ingolstadt 04 to Max-Morlock-Stadion for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 2 October (11:00 WAT).

Current form

1. FC Nürnberg, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Karlsruher SC, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

FC Ingolstadt 04, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC Viktoria Köln, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours 1. FC Nürnberg, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for FC Ingolstadt 04.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Nürnberg 2.5 xG, FC Ingolstadt 04 1.1 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Nürnberg 66%, draw 20%, FC Ingolstadt 04 14%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was 1. FC Nürnberg to win (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

1. FC Nürnberg66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.80
FC Ingolstadt 0414%fair 7.19 · @4.20
3.61Expected goals
2.491. FC Nürnberg xG
1.12FC Ingolstadt 04 xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–18%
3–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: 1. FC Nürnberg 2.5 – 1.1 FC Ingolstadt 04 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1. FC Nürnberg to win ✓66%1.521.60 ▲
Double chance1. FC Nürnberg or draw ✓86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no bet1. FC Nürnberg (draw no bet) ✓83%1.21–
Asian handicap1. FC Nürnberg -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.511.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.95–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
First team to score1. FC Nürnberg to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time result1. FC Nürnberg ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT 1. FC Nürnberg / FT 1. FC Nürnberg ✓45%2.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.65–

Recent results

1. FC Nürnberg – last 6

WWDWDW
19 Sep@ Karlsruher SC1–0W
11 Sepvs Hannover 962–1W
5 Sep@ Holstein Kiel2–2D
29 Augvs Arminia Bielefeld4–1W
22 Aug@ FC Viktoria Köln1–1D
15 Aug@ SpVgg Greuther Fürth4–2W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Ingolstadt 04 – last 6

LLWLWD
19 Sep@ FC Viktoria Köln0–3L
16 Sepvs Hoffenheim II1–2L
12 Sep@ FC Saarbrücken1–0W
4 Sepvs Alemannia Aachen0–3L
29 Aug@ SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach2–0W
15 Aug@ Preußen Münster1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Nürnberg and FC Ingolstadt 04.

1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

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FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv2 Arda Kardzhali0 140%2.90X21%3.50239%2.05 1.1–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 60%@1.70 ✓
FT Gornik Zabrze0 Odra Opole2 172%1.30X20%5.0029%7.00 1.9–0.5xG 1Gornik Zabrze to win 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Sudtirol2 Wacker Innsbruck3 164%1.62X14%4.20222%3.75 1.9–1.0xG 1Sudtirol to win 64%@1.62 ✗
FT Pardubice4 Viktoria Žižkov1 161%1.60X19%4.00219%4.10 2.2–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Zlin1 Prostějov2 164%1.57X23%4.00213%4.60 2.3–1.0xG 1Zlin to win 64%@1.57 ✗
FT FC Lugano1 Hellas Verona3 138%2.30X21%3.40241%2.62 1.7–1.8xG GGBoth teams to score 62%@1.60 ✓
FT Raków Częstochowa4 Polonia Bytom1 168%1.45X19%4.50213%5.00 2.5–1.0xG 1Raków Częstochowa to win 68%@1.45 ✓
FT Aarhus2 Vendsyssel FF1 168%1.33X20%5.00212%6.25 2.2–0.8xG 1Aarhus to win 68%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our pick is 1. FC Nürnberg to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

On our numbers 1. FC Nürnberg have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Ingolstadt 04 14%.

How many goals will there be in 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

Our predicted score is 1. FC Nürnberg 2–1 FC Ingolstadt 04, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is 1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04?

1. FC Nürnberg vs FC Ingolstadt 04 (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Max-Morlock-Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.