Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
1
Value bet: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv Plovdiv to win ✓40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Arda Kardzhali for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 2 October (09:00 WAT).
Current form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Cherno More Varna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arda Kardzhali, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Aug 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0–1 Arda Kardzhali. The last 5 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3 wins, Arda Kardzhali 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.2 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40%, draw 21%, Arda Kardzhali 39%.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Plovdiv40%fair 2.52 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Arda Kardzhali39%fair 2.54 · @2.05
2.14Expected goals
1.07Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
1.07Arda Kardzhali xG
43%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 – 1.1 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Arda Kardzhali 39%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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