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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lechia Gdansk v Jagiellonia: numbers & prediction

Cup · Poland · Polsat Plus Arena
0–6
FT
Lechia Gdansk 15%Draw 20%Jagiellonia 64% Expected goals 0.92 – 2.08
64%
Betarazi pick

Jagiellonia to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultJagiellonia to win ✓64% · @1.65
Double chanceJagiellonia or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:30 WAT, Wednesday 28 October: Lechia Gdansk v Jagiellonia in the Cup, played at Polsat Plus Arena.

Current form

Lechia Gdansk, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Puszcza Niepołomice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.

Jagiellonia, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Wisla Plock, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lechia Gdansk, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Jagiellonia.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Lechia Gdansk 3–0 Jagiellonia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lechia Gdansk 0.9 xG, Jagiellonia 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lechia Gdansk 15%, draw 20%, Jagiellonia 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Jagiellonia or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Jagiellonia to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lechia Gdansk 0–2 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lechia Gdansk15%fair 6.49 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Jagiellonia64%fair 1.56 · @1.65
3.00Expected goals
0.92Lechia Gdansk xG
2.08Jagiellonia xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Lechia Gdansk 0.9 – 2.1 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJagiellonia to win ✓64%1.561.65 ▲
Double chanceJagiellonia or draw ✓85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.67
Draw no betJagiellonia (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapJagiellonia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreJagiellonia to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultJagiellonia ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jagiellonia / FT Jagiellonia ✓42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Lechia Gdansk – last 6

LWWWWW
24 Oct@ Puszcza Niepołomice1–2L
18 Octvs Arka Gdynia2–1W
12 Oct@ Stal Rzeszów2–1W
3 Oct@ Ruch Chorzów3–1W
19 Sepvs Stal Mielec7–1W
13 Sepvs Miedz Legnica2–1W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Jagiellonia – last 6

WLLWLL
25 Octvs Wisla Plock1–0W
22 Octvs Anderlecht0–3L
18 Oct@ Zaglebie Lubin0–1L
15 Octvs Ararat-Armenia3–1W
10 Octvs Gornik Zabrze1–3L
3 Octvs Polonia Warszawa1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Lechia Gdansk v Jagiellonia3–0
Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?

Our pick is Jagiellonia to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?

On our numbers Lechia Gdansk have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jagiellonia 64%.

How many goals will there be in Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?

Our predicted score is Lechia Gdansk 0–2 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia?

Lechia Gdansk vs Jagiellonia (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Polsat Plus Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.