Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12%Draw 15%Lech Poznan 73%Expected goals 1.53 – 3.47
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
2.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✗73% · @1.15
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✗88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @2.20
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 13.92
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lech Poznan travel to face Siarka Tarnobrzeg on Wednesday 28 October in the Cup, with Stadion Miejski the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Siarka Tarnobrzeg, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Moravia Morawica, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Lech Poznan, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Legia Warszawa, away. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.5 xG, Lech Poznan 3.5 xG – a total near 5.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 88% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12%, draw 15%, Lech Poznan 73%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Siarka Tarnobrzeg12%fair 8.48 · @17.00
Draw15%fair 6.58 · @6.50
Lech Poznan73%fair 1.37 · @1.15
5.00Expected goals
1.53Siarka Tarnobrzeg xG
3.47Lech Poznan xG
62%Both score
88%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–46%
1–26%
2–35%
2–45%
2–25%
From our goals model: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.5 – 3.5 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✗
73%
1.37
1.15
Double chance
Lech Poznan or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✗
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Lech Poznan -1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✗
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
13.92
–
Recent results
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – last 6
WWLLLW
24 Oct
@ Moravia Morawica
3–2
W
17 Oct
vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
4–0
W
9 Oct
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
1–4
L
3 Oct
vs Korona Kielce II
1–2
L
26 Sep
@ Star Starachowice
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lech Poznan – last 6
WDWLWD
25 Oct
@ Legia Warszawa
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Energie Cottbus
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Siarka Tarnobrzeg and Lech Poznan.
What is the prediction for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Siarka Tarnobrzeg have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Lech Poznan 73%.
How many goals will there be in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 5.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 88% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1–3 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.0 goals in total.
When is Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan?
Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Lech Poznan (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sokół Kleczew2
Podhale Nowy Targ1
Znicz Pruszków0
Ruch Chorzów1
Puszcza Niepołomice1
Wisla Plock1
Tychy 712
Pogoń Siedlce2
Polonia Środa3
Śląsk Wrocław II1
Lechia Gdansk0
Jagiellonia6