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Zorya Luhansk v Kryvbas KR: numbers & prediction

Cup · Ukraine

Zorya Luhansk

DWWLD
1–1
FTPens 2–3

Kryvbas KR

DLLWD
Zorya Luhansk 67%Draw 18%Kryvbas KR 15% Expected goals 2.28 – 0.97
67%
Betarazi pick

Zorya Luhansk to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 57% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultZorya Luhansk to win ✗67% · @1.36
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw ✓85% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zorya Luhansk welcome Kryvbas KR for a Cup fixture on Thursday 29 October (12:00 WAT).

Current form

Zorya Luhansk, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Shakhtar Donetsk, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Kryvbas KR, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bukovyna, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Zorya Luhansk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Kryvbas KR.

Head to head

When they last met (9 Aug 2026) it ended Zorya Luhansk 1–3 Kryvbas KR. The last 2 head-to-heads: Zorya Luhansk 0 wins, Kryvbas KR 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Zorya Luhansk 2.3 xG, Kryvbas KR 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Zorya Luhansk 67%, draw 18%, Kryvbas KR 15%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Zorya Luhansk to win (67%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zorya Luhansk 2–0 Kryvbas KR. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Zorya Luhansk67%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @4.80
Kryvbas KR15%fair 6.68 · @5.50
3.25Expected goals
2.28Zorya Luhansk xG
0.97Kryvbas KR xG
57%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Zorya Luhansk 2.3 – 1.0 Kryvbas KR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultZorya Luhansk to win ✗67%1.481.36
Double chanceZorya Luhansk or draw ✓85%1.181.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.762.05 ▲
Draw no betZorya Luhansk (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapZorya Luhansk -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
First team to scoreZorya Luhansk to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultZorya Luhansk ahead at half-time ✗49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Zorya Luhansk / FT Zorya Luhansk ✗44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.23–

Recent results

Zorya Luhansk – last 6

DWWLDW
24 Oct@ Shakhtar Donetsk0–0D
17 Octvs Chornomorets2–1W
12 Oct@ Livyi Bereh3–1W
19 Sepvs Dynamo Kyiv0–2L
13 Sep@ Bukovyna1–1D
9 Sep@ Yarud Mariupol'2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kryvbas KR – last 6

DLLWDL
25 Oct@ Bukovyna0–0D
18 Octvs LNZ Cherkasy0–3L
18 Sep@ Polessya0–1L
8 Sep@ Olimpiya Savyntsi2–0W
5 Sepvs Kolos Kovalivka2–2D
30 Aug@ Chornomorets0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Aug 2026Zorya Luhansk v Kryvbas KR1–3
1 Mar 2026Kryvbas KR v Zorya Luhansk3–1
Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR head-to-head page →

More Cup predictions

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FT Karpaty2 Oleksandria1 161%1.57X24%3.60215%4.80 2.0–1.0xG 1Karpaty to win 61%@1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

Our pick is Zorya Luhansk to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

On our numbers Zorya Luhansk have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Kryvbas KR 15%.

How many goals will there be in Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

Our predicted score is Zorya Luhansk 2–0 Kryvbas KR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR?

Zorya Luhansk vs Kryvbas KR (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.