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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Karpaty v Oleksandria: numbers & prediction

Cup · Ukraine · Ukraina Stadium

Karpaty

DDLWD
2–1
FT

Oleksandria

WDLWD
Karpaty 61%Draw 24%Oleksandria 15% Expected goals 2.04 – 0.96
61%
Betarazi pick

Karpaty to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultKarpaty to win ✓61% · @1.57
Double chanceKarpaty or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.06

Karpaty vs Oleksandria: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Oleksandria travel to face Karpaty on Thursday 29 October in the Cup, with Ukraina Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Karpaty, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chornomorets, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Oleksandria, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Probiy Horodenka, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Karpaty 2.0 xG, Oleksandria 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Karpaty 61%, draw 24%, Oleksandria 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Karpaty or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Karpaty to win (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Karpaty61%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.60
Oleksandria15%fair 6.69 · @4.80
3.00Expected goals
2.04Karpaty xG
0.96Oleksandria xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Karpaty 2.0 – 1.0 Oleksandria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKarpaty to win ✓61%1.651.57
Double chanceKarpaty or draw ✓85%1.181.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.80 ▲
Draw no betKarpaty (draw no bet) ✓80%1.25–
Asian handicapKarpaty -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreKarpaty to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultKarpaty ahead at half-time ✓46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Karpaty / FT Karpaty ✓40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.06–

Recent results

Karpaty – last 6

DDLWDW
25 Oct@ Chornomorets0–0D
18 Octvs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi2–2D
11 Oct@ Dynamo Kyiv0–1L
3 Oct@ KV Mechelen3–2W
20 Sepvs Veres Rivne1–1D
16 Sep@ Kolos Kovalivka3–2W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Oleksandria – last 6

WDLWDL
24 Octvs Probiy Horodenka2–0W
18 Oct@ Kulykiv1–1D
11 Octvs Lokomotiv Kyiv1–3L
4 Oct@ Kolos Kovalivka II2–0W
27 Sepvs Yarud Mariupol'1–1D
20 Sep@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Karpaty v Oleksandria2–0
Karpaty vs Oleksandria head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Karpaty vs Oleksandria?

Our pick is Karpaty to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Karpaty vs Oleksandria?

On our numbers Karpaty have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Oleksandria 15%.

How many goals will there be in Karpaty vs Oleksandria?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Karpaty vs Oleksandria?

Our predicted score is Karpaty 2–0 Oleksandria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Karpaty vs Oleksandria?

Karpaty vs Oleksandria (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 29 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Ukraina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.