Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 2.22 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFard Alborz to win ✗51% · @2.22
Double chanceFard Alborz or draw ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Fard Alborz vs Havadar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Monday 26 October: Fard Alborz v Havadar in the Azadegan League. In the table, Fard Alborz are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 9 matches; Havadar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fard Alborz, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Naft Gachsaran, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Havadar, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Novin Ahvaz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Momentum favours Fard Alborz, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Havadar.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Havadar 1–0 Fard Alborz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fard Alborz 1.2 xG, Havadar 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fard Alborz 51%, draw 25%, Havadar 24%.
Lower-risk option: Fard Alborz or draw (76%) at 1.24.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.49.
Price worth noting: Fard Alborz to win @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Fard Alborz or draw (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fard Alborz51%fair 1.96 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Havadar24%fair 4.14 · @3.18
1.90Expected goals
1.20Fard Alborz xG
0.69Havadar xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Fard Alborz 1.2 – 0.7 Havadar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
Our pick is Fard Alborz or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
On our numbers Fard Alborz have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Havadar 24%.
How many goals will there be in Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
Our predicted score is Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Fard Alborz vs Havadar?
Fard Alborz vs Havadar (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.