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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fard Alborz v Havadar: numbers & prediction

0–0
FT

Havadar

LDLLL
Fard Alborz 51%Draw 25%Havadar 24% Expected goals 1.20 – 0.69
76%
Betarazi pick

Fard Alborz or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.24Odds
1

Value bet: Fard Alborz to win @ 2.22 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultFard Alborz to win ✗51% · @2.22
Double chanceFard Alborz or draw ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.49
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54

Fard Alborz vs Havadar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Monday 26 October: Fard Alborz v Havadar in the Azadegan League. In the table, Fard Alborz are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 9 matches; Havadar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Fard Alborz, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Naft Gachsaran, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Havadar, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Novin Ahvaz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Fard Alborz, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Havadar.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Havadar 1–0 Fard Alborz.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fard Alborz 1.2 xG, Havadar 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fard Alborz 51%, draw 25%, Havadar 24%.
  • Lower-risk option: Fard Alborz or draw (76%) at 1.24.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.49.
  • Price worth noting: Fard Alborz to win @2.22 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Fard Alborz or draw (76%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fard Alborz51%fair 1.96 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @2.80
Havadar24%fair 4.14 · @3.18
1.90Expected goals
1.20Fard Alborz xG
0.69Havadar xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
2–011%
0–110%
2–18%

From our goals model: Fard Alborz 1.2 – 0.7 Havadar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFard Alborz to win ✗51%1.962.22 ▲
Double chanceFard Alborz or draw ✓76%1.321.24
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.861.49
Draw no betFard Alborz (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapHavadar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.761.61
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69%1.441.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓87%1.151.06
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.05–
First team to scoreFard Alborz to score first ✗54%1.85–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓51%1.97–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fard Alborz / FT Fard Alborz ✗28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18%5.54–

Recent results

Fard Alborz – last 6

LWLDWD
19 Oct@ Naft Gachsaran2–4L
11 Octvs Shahin Bandar Ameri3–0W
4 Oct@ Naft Masjed Soleyman0–1L
27 Sepvs Shenavarsazi Qeshm0–0D
21 Sep@ Niroye Zamini1–0W
15 Sepvs Mes Kerman1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Havadar – last 6

LDLLLD
19 Octvs Novin Ahvaz0–1L
12 Oct@ Naft Bandar Abbas1–1D
5 Octvs Pars Jonoubi JAM0–1L
28 Sep@ Ario Eslamshahr0–2L
22 Sepvs Be'sat Kermanshah0–3L
16 Sep@ Mes Rafsanjan0–0D
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Havadar v Fard Alborz1–0
Fard Alborz vs Havadar head-to-head page →

Azadegan League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pars Jonoubi JAM9630+821
2Shenavarsazi Qeshm9531+418
3Fard Alborz9522+917
4Mes Rafsanjan9441+516
5Mes Soongoun9432+115
6Shahin Bandar Ameri9342013
7Ario Eslamshahr9414013
8Naft Gachsaran9333+112
9Novin Ahvaz9261+112
10Saipa9333012
11Naft Masjed Soleyman9324+211
12Be'sat Kermanshah9234-29
13Mes Kerman9144-37
14Naft Bandar Abbas9144-87
15Niroye Zamini9117-94
16Havadar9045-94

More Azadegan League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fard Alborz vs Havadar?

Our pick is Fard Alborz or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.

Who will win Fard Alborz vs Havadar?

On our numbers Fard Alborz have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Havadar 24%.

How many goals will there be in Fard Alborz vs Havadar?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fard Alborz vs Havadar?

Our predicted score is Fard Alborz 1–0 Havadar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Fard Alborz vs Havadar?

Fard Alborz vs Havadar (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.