Value bet: Shahin Bandar Ameri to win @ 3.62 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMes Kerman to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mes Kerman welcome Shahin Bandar Ameri for a Azadegan League fixture on Monday 26 October (12:30 WAT). In the table, Mes Kerman are 13th, lower half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Shahin Bandar Ameri are 6th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Mes Kerman, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Shenavarsazi Qeshm, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Shahin Bandar Ameri, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Mes Soongoun, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shahin Bandar Ameri, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Mes Kerman.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mes Kerman 1.0 xG, Shahin Bandar Ameri 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mes Kerman 40%, draw 25%, Shahin Bandar Ameri 35%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.46.
Price worth noting: Shahin Bandar Ameri to win @3.62 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.31). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mes Kerman 1–0 Shahin Bandar Ameri. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mes Kerman40%fair 2.51 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.79
Shahin Bandar Ameri35%fair 2.83 · @3.62
1.93Expected goals
1.01Mes Kerman xG
0.92Shahin Bandar Ameri xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mes Kerman 1.0 – 0.9 Shahin Bandar Ameri expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Kerman to win✗
40%
2.51
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.46
Draw no bet
Mes Kerman (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Shahin Bandar Ameri +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.64
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.31
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.06
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mes Kerman to score first
45%
2.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.85
–
Recent results
Mes Kerman – last 6
LLDDLD
20 Oct
@ Shenavarsazi Qeshm
0–1
L
12 Oct
vs Mes Rafsanjan
0–1
L
5 Oct
@ Niroye Zamini
0–0
D
28 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Saipa
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Shahin Bandar Ameri – last 6
LLWDDD
19 Oct
vs Mes Soongoun
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Fard Alborz
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs Saipa
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Novin Ahvaz
2–2
D
21 Sep
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
0–0
D
15 Sep
@ Naft Bandar Abbas
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Kerman and Shahin Bandar Ameri.
What is the prediction for Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
On our numbers Mes Kerman have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Shahin Bandar Ameri 35%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
Our predicted score is Mes Kerman 1–0 Shahin Bandar Ameri, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri?
Mes Kerman vs Shahin Bandar Ameri (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
