Value bet: Saipa to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaipa to win ✗61% · @1.77
Double chanceSaipa or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.67
Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saipa welcome Naft Gachsaran for a Azadegan League fixture on Tuesday 27 October (13:00 WAT). In the table, Saipa are 10th, lower half, on 12 points after 9 matches; Naft Gachsaran are 8th (upper half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Saipa, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Naft Masjed Soleyman, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Naft Gachsaran, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Fard Alborz, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Saipa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Naft Gachsaran.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Naft Gachsaran 2–1 Saipa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saipa 1.4 xG, Naft Gachsaran 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saipa 61%, draw 25%, Naft Gachsaran 14%.
Price worth noting: Saipa to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saipa 1–0 Naft Gachsaran. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saipa61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.05
Naft Gachsaran14%fair 7.01 · @4.63
1.86Expected goals
1.38Saipa xG
0.48Naft Gachsaran xG
37%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–021%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Saipa 1.4 – 0.5 Naft Gachsaran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
On our numbers Saipa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Naft Gachsaran 14%.
How many goals will there be in Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Our predicted score is Saipa 1–0 Naft Gachsaran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran?
Saipa vs Naft Gachsaran (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
