Value bet: Mes Rafsanjan to win @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMes Rafsanjan to win ✗50% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.63
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 27 October the Azadegan League brings Naft Bandar Abbas against Mes Rafsanjan. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Naft Bandar Abbas are 14th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 9 matches; Mes Rafsanjan are 4th (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Naft Bandar Abbas, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Ario Eslamshahr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Mes Rafsanjan, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Niroye Zamini, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mes Rafsanjan, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Naft Bandar Abbas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naft Bandar Abbas 0.7 xG, Mes Rafsanjan 1.2 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naft Bandar Abbas 26%, draw 24%, Mes Rafsanjan 50%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.56.
Price worth noting: Mes Rafsanjan to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 Mes Rafsanjan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naft Bandar Abbas26%fair 3.84 · @3.12
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.88
Mes Rafsanjan50%fair 2.02 · @2.20
1.88Expected goals
0.72Naft Bandar Abbas xG
1.16Mes Rafsanjan xG
46%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–015%
1–113%
1–011%
0–210%
1–27%
From our goals model: Naft Bandar Abbas 0.7 – 1.2 Mes Rafsanjan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mes Rafsanjan to win✗
50%
2.02
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.56
Draw no bet
Mes Rafsanjan (draw no bet)
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Naft Bandar Abbas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Mes Rafsanjan to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mes Rafsanjan / FT Mes Rafsanjan✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.63
–
Recent results
Naft Bandar Abbas – last 6
LDLDWD
20 Oct
@ Ario Eslamshahr
0–4
L
12 Oct
vs Havadar
1–1
D
5 Oct
@ Be'sat Kermanshah
1–2
L
28 Sep
vs Naft Gachsaran
0–0
D
22 Sep
@ Naft Masjed Soleyman
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mes Rafsanjan – last 6
WWWWDD
20 Oct
vs Niroye Zamini
4–1
W
12 Oct
@ Mes Kerman
1–0
W
5 Oct
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
29 Sep
vs Be'sat Kermanshah
1–0
W
22 Sep
@ Mes Soongoun
0–0
D
16 Sep
vs Havadar
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Bandar Abbas and Mes Rafsanjan.
What is the prediction for Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
On our numbers Naft Bandar Abbas have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mes Rafsanjan 50%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Our predicted score is Naft Bandar Abbas 0–1 Mes Rafsanjan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan?
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Rafsanjan (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
